Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 74.765232 84.040459 93.559745 104.028652 115.187946 126.698330 139.439022
2024-12-22 60.405845 73.630923 87.842085 104.122300 122.135210 141.342577 163.260070
2024-12-29 52.504033 67.984357 85.183056 105.451356 128.439749 153.480435 182.599388
2025-01-05 46.906877 64.080861 83.721977 107.424196 134.854719 165.242652 201.100718
2025-01-12 40.810450 58.879694 80.150793 106.415009 137.392200 172.245942 213.920548
2025-01-19 34.972928 53.403053 75.747136 103.966583 137.861549 176.559061 223.398162
2025-01-26 32.881868 52.386770 76.550648 107.564786 145.293595 188.802196 241.901862
2025-02-02 30.608482 50.904003 76.594456 110.089592 151.335152 199.350865 258.404661
2025-02-09 27.085243 47.452160 73.902898 109.024146 152.876202 204.471505 268.473852
2025-02-16 23.966531 44.282473 71.354012 107.944780 154.241738 209.261594 278.058766
2025-02-23 21.931598 42.468565 70.450339 108.843769 157.958945 216.808101 290.870689
2025-03-02 19.701563 40.176822 68.755279 108.595545 160.148412 222.440730 301.354487
2025-03-09 17.948459 38.486893 67.819294 109.319300 163.585116 229.656548 313.853027
2025-03-16 15.783991 35.963834 65.578514 108.199021 164.596652 233.852638 322.688162
2025-03-23 14.617314 34.933030 65.378249 109.760075 169.007732 242.219997 336.578877
2025-03-30 13.670997 34.180921 65.522291 111.748676 173.950068 251.242620 351.282299
2025-04-06 12.023554 32.066952 63.543584 110.720080 174.883195 255.210731 359.763511
2025-04-13 10.190852 29.412271 60.596363 108.210111 173.760991 256.516871 364.905471
2025-04-20 9.925427 29.630408 62.037843 111.897416 180.878944 268.259084 382.989435
2025-04-27 9.438409 29.376955 62.717646 114.483931 186.524499 278.143439 398.792940
2025-05-04 8.237793 27.590383 60.889203 113.392506 187.174879 281.627264 406.608551
2025-05-11 7.152973 25.894135 59.105481 112.286715 187.746052 284.968249 414.218385
2025-05-18 6.524399 25.087544 58.725142 113.207720 191.058984 291.830110 426.249748